Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.035196 0.040917 0.047273 0.054859 0.063669 0.073582 0.085588
2025-11-30 0.026520 0.034073 0.043332 0.055523 0.071164 0.090580 0.116553
2025-12-07 0.020908 0.028997 0.039688 0.054861 0.075872 0.103996 0.144599
2025-12-14 0.016893 0.024944 0.036259 0.053339 0.078521 0.114376 0.169493
2025-12-21 0.013983 0.021791 0.033362 0.051783 0.080449 0.123502 0.193369
2025-12-28 0.012369 0.020225 0.032433 0.052809 0.086087 0.138505 0.227793
2026-01-04 0.010919 0.018653 0.031197 0.053059 0.090365 0.151732 0.260979
2026-01-11 0.009709 0.017268 0.030025 0.053163 0.094279 0.164678 0.295227
2026-01-18 0.008806 0.016264 0.029325 0.053914 0.099297 0.179967 0.335390
2026-01-25 0.008135 0.015567 0.029046 0.055327 0.105599 0.198176 0.383086
2026-02-01 0.007138 0.014125 0.027218 0.053608 0.105819 0.205224 0.410644
2026-02-08 0.006450 0.013178 0.026187 0.053249 0.108542 0.217217 0.449220
2026-02-15 0.005809 0.012250 0.025101 0.052689 0.110892 0.228976 0.489372
2026-02-22 0.005400 0.011746 0.024797 0.053686 0.116569 0.248147 0.547617
2026-03-01 0.004893 0.010963 0.023816 0.053119 0.118843 0.260509 0.592886
2026-03-08 0.004372 0.010080 0.022509 0.051660 0.118959 0.268220 0.628817
2026-03-15 0.003911 0.009270 0.021258 0.050156 0.118756 0.275161 0.663857
2026-03-22 0.003683 0.008966 0.021104 0.051151 0.124448 0.296123 0.734717
2026-03-29 0.003426 0.008559 0.020658 0.051393 0.128371 0.313433 0.799055
2026-04-05 0.003185 0.008160 0.020180 0.051493 0.131954 0.330351 0.864701
2026-04-12 0.003002 0.007883 0.019965 0.052220 0.137200 0.351989 0.945380
2026-04-19 0.002868 0.007715 0.019999 0.053589 0.144273 0.379091 1.044145
2026-04-26 0.002594 0.007141 0.018931 0.051924 0.143122 0.384848 1.086100